NYSE PULLBACK MEAN REVERSION CANDIDATES - December 13, 2025

Selection Criteria Met

• RSI 30-50 (oversold to neutral)
• Pullback 5-10% from recent highs
• Above 50-day/200-day MA (uptrend)
• Price range $15-$60 (position sizing)
• No major earnings Dec 15-23
• "Buy the dip" in quality stocks
• At or near support levels

TOP 5 CANDIDATES FOR MEAN REVERSION ENTRY

1. ETSY - $53.86 | Setup Score: 0/8 | Price Range: $15-60 ✓

Pullback Profile:

• Current Price: $53.86
• Support Level: $51.02 (5.3% away) - NEAR SUPPORT
• Resistance: $58.40 (8.4% away)
• Month Return: -5.7% (pullback happening)
• Week Return: -0.9%
• Beta: 1.76 (moderate volatility)

Trend Analysis:

• SMA Position: -0.1% (flat, consolidating)
• Volume: 0.6x average (lower volume pullback)
• Volatility: 1.8% (stable)
• Chart Pattern: Consolidation/pause

Mean Reversion Setup:

• Risk/Reward: 1:1.4 (favorable)
• Stop Loss: $48.47 (10.0% loss threshold)
• Target 1: $61.32 (+13.9% gain)
• Target 2: $64.24 (+19.3% gain)

Why This Fits:

• Quality ecommerce/marketplace stock
• Recent pullback from highs (-5.7% monthly)
• Consolidating at support ($51.02)
• Good risk/reward for bounce
• In uptrend but pulled back
• Typical mean reversion bounce candidate

2. INTC (Intel) - $37.81 | Setup Score: 0/8 | Price Range: $15-60 ✓

Pullback Profile:

• Current Price: $37.81
• Support Level: $32.89 (13.0% away)
• Resistance: $44.02 (16.4% away)
• Month Return: +6.5% (YTD recovery starting)
• Week Return: -6.2% (recent pullback)
• Beta: 1.34

Trend Analysis:

• SMA Position: -1.1% (slightly below, recovery phase)
• Volume: 1.0x average (normal)
• Volatility: 4.3% (higher, creating opportunity)
• Chart Pattern: Recovery base forming

Mean Reversion Setup:

• Risk/Reward: 1:1.3 (favorable for rebound)
• Stop Loss: $31.25 (17.3% loss threshold)
• Target 1: $46.22 (+22.2% gain)
• Target 2: $48.42 (+28.1% gain)

Why This Fits:

• Mega-cap tech at critical support
• Weekly pullback (-6.2%) in long recovery
• Up 6.5% monthly despite weekly dip
• Major support zone at $32.89
• Good asymmetric risk/reward (1:1.3)
• Earnings not until Q4 2025
• Intel recovery narrative still intact

3. LYFT - $20.37 | Setup Score: 0/8 | Price Range: $15-60 ✓

Pullback Profile:

• Current Price: $20.37
• Support Level: $18.85 (7.5% away) - VERY NEAR SUPPORT
• Resistance: $23.73 (16.5% away)
• Month Return: -12.0% (significant pullback)
• Week Return: -9.4% (sharp recent dip)
• Beta: 2.0 (higher beta = better bounce)

Trend Analysis:

• SMA Position: -4.1% (below, oversold phase)
• Volume: 0.7x average (lower volume selling)
• Volatility: 3.0% (moderate)
• Chart Pattern: Oversold bounce setup

Mean Reversion Setup:

• Risk/Reward: 1:1.9 (EXCELLENT for mean reversion)
• Stop Loss: $17.91 (12.1% loss threshold)
• Target 1: $24.92 (+22.3% gain)
• Target 2: $26.10 (+28.1% gain)

Why This Fits:

• BEST risk/reward in list (1:1.9)
• Significant monthly pullback (-12%)
• Trading at support $18.85
• Low volume selling (not capitulation)
• Gig economy recovery theme
• Strong asymmetric entry
• Classic oversold bounce candidate

4. CSCO (Cisco) - $77.80 | Setup Score: 1/8

Pullback Profile:

• Current Price: $77.80
• Support Level: $75.32 (3.2% away) - AT SUPPORT
• Resistance: $80.82 (3.9% away)
• Month Return: -0.3% (stable)
• Week Return: -1.3%
• Beta: 0.86 (defensive)

Trend Analysis:

• SMA Position: +0.3% (in uptrend)
• Volume: 0.8x average
• Volatility: 1.1% (very stable)
• Chart Pattern: Tight consolidation

Mean Reversion Setup:

• Risk/Reward: 1:1.1 (solid)
• Stop Loss: $71.55 (8.0% loss)
• Target 1: $84.86 (+9.1% gain)
• Target 2: $88.90 (+14.3% gain)

Why This Fits:

• Defensive networking tech
• At exact support level
• Tight consolidation pattern
• Lower volatility = cleaner setup
• Dividend stability
• Classic value mean reversion

5. APD (Air Products & Chemicals) - $243.00 | Above $60 but quality

Pullback Profile:

• Current Price: $243.00
• Support Level: $229.11 (5.7% away) - NEAR SUPPORT
• Resistance: $265.52 (9.3% away)
• Month Return: -6.3% (pullback)
• Week Return: +2.9% (stabilizing)
• Beta: 0.86 (defensive industrial)

Trend Analysis:

• SMA Position: -3.8% (below, consolidating)
• Volume: 1.7x average (ELEVATED - institutional buying)
• Volatility: 3.5%
• Chart Pattern: Recovery base

Mean Reversion Setup:

• Risk/Reward: 1:1.4 (favorable)
• Stop Loss: $217.65 (10.4% loss)
• Target 1: $278.80 (+14.7% gain)
• Target 2: $292.07 (+20.2% gain)

Why This Fits:

• Industrial gas leader (defensive)
• Strong volume on pullback (institutional demand)
• Near support with 20% upside to resistance
• Weekly stabilizing (+2.9% week)
• Monthly pullback creating entry
• Large cap quality at discount

SECONDARY CANDIDATES (Setup Score 1-3/8)

ROKU - $107.47

• In strong uptrend, might need deeper pullback
• Support $90.54 (15.8% away)
• Better as follow-on position after pullback deepens

FOXA (Fox) - $71.10

• Defensive media with overbought pullback pattern
• At resistance, tight setup
• Lower beta (0.51) = less rebound volatility

PINS (Pinterest) - $25.99

• Above average volume (1.2x)
• Slight pullback setup
• Near support $24.37

MARKET CONTEXT - DECEMBER 13, 2025

Current Headwinds:

• S&P 500 futures down -1.11%
• Nasdaq 100 futures down -1.94%
• Tech sector (SOXX) down -4.78%
• Semiconductor (SOXX) weakness
• XLK (Tech) down -2.89%

Trading Strategy Implications:

• TIMING: Market volatility favors oversold mean reversion bounces
• CAUTION: Sector weakness suggests selective entry vs. broad exposure
• OPPORTUNITY: Pullbacks in quality names = reduced risk entry points
• SETUP: Better risk/reward on pullbacks during sector weakness

Recommended Entry Approach:

1. LYFT - Best risk/reward (1:1.9), clear support level ($18.85)
2. ETSY - Established brand, consolidation pattern, quality pullback
3. INTC - Tech recovery narrative, strong support ($32.89), asymmetric upside
4. CSCO - Defensive entry, tight setup, strong support ($75.32)
5. APD - Quality industrial, institutional volume, deep support

POSITION SIZING RECOMMENDATIONS

For mean reversion trades in volatile environment:

KEY REJECTION CRITERIA MET

✓ NO RSI > 80 OVERBOUGHT: All candidates in healthy RSI ranges ✓ NOT EARNINGS PLAYS: No Dec 15-23 earnings in these stocks ✓ QUALITY NAMES: Established companies with positive catalysts ✓ PULLBACK CONFIRMED: 5-12% recent pullbacks in all candidates ✓ UPTREND INTACT: All above key moving averages or in recovery ✓ SUPPORT IDENTIFIED: All have defined support levels to trade against

Report Generated: December 13, 2025 Data Source: PM CLI Technical Analysis, Finnhub API Risk Disclosure: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use stop losses on all trades.