================================================================================ QUANTITATIVE ALLOCATION WEIGHTING - AGGRESSIVE 2-WEEK PORTFOLIO

Budget: €1271.97 EUR (~$1096.53 USD) Trading Period: December 8 - December 19, 2025 Target: 3-4x SPY outperformance (Aggressive profile) Max Loss: 10% portfolio Broker: DEGIRO (no fractional shares)

CRITICAL RISK FACTOR:

FOMC Meeting: December 17, 2025 All positions carry EXTREME volatility risk Consider closing before Dec 17 or reducing position sizes

PORTFOLIO ALLOCATION:

Ticker | Sector | Price | Beta | Shares | Cost (€) | Weight | Exp Return | Risk Score

PLTR | Technology | $181.76 | 1.50 | 3 | €632.52 | 49.7% | 3.4% | 3.55
TSLA | Consumer Cyclical | $455.00 | 1.88 | 0 | €0.00 | 0.0% | 2.9% | 3.20
CRSP | Healthcare | $56.88 | 1.73 | 4 | €263.92 | 20.7% | 3.6% | 3.75

Total Invested: €896.45 Cash Remaining: €375.52 Trading Fees: €12.00 (€2 per trade, buy + sell)

PORTFOLIO METRICS:

Expected Return: 2.46% (2-week) Expected Volatility: 8.39% Portfolio Beta: 1.10 Portfolio Sharpe Ratio: 0.294 Max Probability of 10% Loss: 23.8% Avg Probability of 10% Loss: 8.2%

QUANTITATIVE FACTOR BREAKDOWN:

PLTR: Composite Score: 3.55/5.0 Momentum: 4.0/5.0 Volatility: 3.5/5.0 Quality: 3.0/5.0 Sharpe Ratio: 0.390

TSLA: Composite Score: 3.20/5.0 Momentum: 3.0/5.0 Volatility: 4.0/5.0 Quality: 2.5/5.0 Sharpe Ratio: 0.220

CRSP: Composite Score: 3.75/5.0 Momentum: 4.0/5.0 Volatility: 4.5/5.0 Quality: 2.5/5.0 Sharpe Ratio: 0.190

RISK MANAGEMENT RECOMMENDATIONS:

1. FOMC Strategy Options: a) Close all positions by EOD Dec 16 (conservative) b) Reduce positions by 50% before Dec 17 (moderate) c) Hold through with tight stops (aggressive)

2. Position Sizing Constraints:

   • Max 10% loss = €127.20
   • Individual stop losses at 6-8%

3. Correlation Considerations:

   • Mix of Tech (high beta) and Healthcare (moderate beta)
   • Avoid concentrated sector bets

EXECUTION PLAN:

1. Entry (Dec 8-9): PLTR: Buy 3 shares @ ~$181.76 TSLA: Buy 0 shares @ ~$455.00 CRSP: Buy 4 shares @ ~$56.88

2. Monitoring:

   • Daily: Check for earnings announcements
   • Dec 16: Final decision on FOMC strategy
   • Dec 17: High volatility expected
   • Dec 19: Exit all positions