Ultra-Aggressive Stock Screening Report

Trading Period: December 8-19, 2025

Target: 3x SPY Performance | Max Loss: 10% | Budget: EUR 1,271.97

Screening Date: December 6, 2025 Risk Profile: ULTRA-AGGRESSIVE

Executive Summary

After comprehensive screening using multiple data sources (yfinance, Finnhub, web research) and quantitative factor modeling, I have identified 12 high-conviction candidates for the 2-week ultra-aggressive trading strategy. The final ranking combines fundamental screening scores with quantitative factor analysis (momentum, volatility, short squeeze potential, and sentiment).

Key Finding: FCEL (FuelCell Energy) was EXCLUDED due to earnings release on December 18, 2025 - which falls within our trading window.

Final Ranked Recommendations

Tier 1: STRONG BUY (Quant Score 4.0+)

Tier 2: BUY (Quant Score 3.5-4.0)

Tier 3: SPECULATIVE BUY (Quant Score 3.0-3.5)

Detailed Candidate Profiles

1. ONDS - Ondas Holdings Inc. (STRONG BUY)

• Sector: Technology (Defense/Drones)
• Price: $9.07 | Beta: 2.36 | RSI: 60.1 | Short Interest: 22.95%
• Quantitative Score: 4.20/5.0 (100th percentile)
• Recent Catalyst: Border drone megadeal announced Dec 3, 2025; $8.2M European airport counter-UAS orders
• Why It Ranks #1:
  • 700%+ YTD return with continued momentum (19.66% 1W, 56.11% 1M)
  • Multiple recent contract wins create positive news flow
  • RSI in optimal range (60.1) with room to run
  • Analyst price target $13 from Ladenburg Thalmann
• Risk: Extended after massive rally; profit-taking possible
• Next Earnings: March 12, 2026 (NO conflict)

2. NVTS - Navitas Semiconductor (STRONG BUY)

• Sector: Semiconductors (GaN/SiC)
• Price: $9.48 | Beta: 3.13 | RSI: 67.2 | Short Interest: 33.42%
• Quantitative Score: 4.04/5.0 (91st percentile)
• Recent Catalyst: Nvidia partnership for AI data centers; 165% YTD gain
• Why It Ranks #2:
  • Nvidia partnership validates GaN technology leadership
  • Very high short interest (33%+) creates squeeze potential
  • Strong momentum (14.22% 1W, 20.92% 1M)
  • AI data center power efficiency theme
• Risk: Transitioning business model; insider selling noted
• Next Earnings: February 23, 2026 (NO conflict)

3. NTLA - Intellia Therapeutics (BUY)

• Sector: Biotech (CRISPR/Gene Editing)
• Price: $9.61 | Beta: 2.13 | RSI: 60.5 | Short Interest: 38.97%
• Quantitative Score: 3.88/5.0 (83rd percentile)
• Recent Catalyst: Highest short interest in group (39%); lonvo-z showing 97% attack-free results
• Why It Ranks #3:
  • HIGHEST short interest of all candidates = maximum squeeze potential
  • Clinical hold on nex-z already priced in (stock near 52-week lows)
  • Positive lonvo-z data provides upside catalyst
  • RSI in optimal range for continuation
• Risk: FDA clinical hold on nex-z; recent patient death disclosure
• Next Earnings: February 26, 2026 (NO conflict)

4. CLSK - CleanSpark Inc. (BUY)

• Sector: Bitcoin Mining / AI Infrastructure
• Price: $13.72 | Beta: 3.80 | RSI: 62.5 | Short Interest: 29.97%
• Quantitative Score: 3.82/5.0 (75th percentile)
• Recent Catalyst: 587 BTC mined in Nov; AI/HPC pivot; JPMorgan upgrade to Overweight
• Why It Ranks #4:
  • Very high short interest (30%) with Bitcoin breaking $100K
  • AI data center pivot adds new growth narrative
  • $1.15B convertible notes provide growth capital
  • JPMorgan upgrade signals institutional interest
• Risk: Highly correlated with BTC price; crypto volatility
• Next Earnings: February 5, 2026 (NO conflict)

5. UPST - Upstart Holdings (BUY)

• Sector: Fintech (AI Lending)
• Price: $46.75 | Beta: 2.28 | RSI: 67.2 | Short Interest: 29.53%
• Quantitative Score: 3.67/5.0 (66th percentile)
• Recent Catalyst: $1.5B Castlelake forward-flow commitment; 71% YoY revenue growth
• Why It Ranks #5:
  • High short interest (30%+) with positive fundamental story
  • AI lending platform gaining traction
  • New partnerships (Pathward, Peak Credit Union)
  • Strong revenue growth trajectory
• Risk: Rate sensitivity; Q3 revenue miss caused recent pullback
• Next Earnings: February 10, 2026 (NO conflict)

6. WULF - TeraWulf Inc. (BUY)

• Sector: Bitcoin Mining / AI Infrastructure
• Price: $14.50 | Beta: 4.31 | RSI: 69.1 | Short Interest: 30.87%
• Quantitative Score: 3.61/5.0 (58th percentile)
• Recent Catalyst: $9.5B Fluidstack AI JV; Google $1.3B backing; preferred stock conversion Dec 9
• Why It Ranks #6:
  • Major AI pivot with Google backing
  • Preferred stock conversion Dec 9 may create near-term volatility
  • Very high short interest (31%)
  • Strong Q3 results (+87% YoY revenue)
• Risk: RSI approaching overbought (69); high debt levels; dilution from conversion
• Next Earnings: February 26, 2026 (NO conflict)

7. BEAM - Beam Therapeutics (SPECULATIVE BUY)

• Sector: Biotech (Base Editing)
• Price: $27.09 | Beta: 2.22 | RSI: 67.0 | Short Interest: 22.75%
• Quantitative Score: 3.48/5.0 (50th percentile)
• Recent Catalyst: ASH presentation Dec 6-9 with BEAM-101 sickle cell data
• EVENT TIMING: ASH conference runs Dec 6-9, 2025 - data presentation THIS WEEKEND
• Risk: Binary event risk from ASH data; biotech volatility
• Next Earnings: February 24, 2026 (NO conflict)

8-12. Additional Candidates (SPECULATIVE)

Correlation Analysis & Portfolio Construction

WARNING: Highly Correlated Groups

Bitcoin Mining Cluster (r = 0.85):

• CLSK, WULF, MARA, HUT
• All move with Bitcoin - avoid holding more than 1-2 from this group

Biotech Cluster (r = 0.60):

• BEAM, NTLA, CRSP
• Shared gene editing sector risk - diversify exposure

Recommended 3-Position Portfolio (Budget: EUR 1,271.97)

For maximum diversification and risk-adjusted returns:

Alternative Allocations:

Option B (More Aggressive):

• ONDS 35%, CLSK 35%, WULF 30% (BTC-heavy, maximum volatility)

Option C (Event-Driven):

• BEAM 40%, ONDS 35%, NVTS 25% (ASH catalyst + momentum plays)

Risk Management

Stop-Loss Recommendations

• Hard stop: -10% from entry (per user max loss tolerance)
• Trailing stop: 7% once position is +15%

Position Sizing by Risk

• Max single position: 40% of portfolio
• Max sector concentration: 50%
• Max correlated positions: 2 from same cluster

Key Dates to Monitor

• Dec 6-9: ASH Conference (BEAM catalyst)
• Dec 9: WULF preferred stock conversion
• Dec 8: SYM secondary offering closes
• Dec 18: FCEL earnings (EXCLUDED from list)

Data Sources

• Stock Data: yfinance (prices, technicals, fundamentals)
• Short Interest: yfinance, Finnhub API
• News & Catalysts: Web search (Benzinga, Yahoo Finance, StockTitan, Seeking Alpha)
• Quantitative Scoring: Custom factor model based on Elements of Quantitative Investing

Files Generated

1. /home/pengacau/pasar-malam/output/comprehensive_ultra_candidates.csv - Full screening results
2. /home/pengacau/pasar-malam/output/ultra_aggressive_final_candidates.json - Final 12 candidates with detailed data
3. /home/pengacau/pasar-malam/output/quant_factor_scores.json - Quantitative factor scoring results
4. /home/pengacau/pasar-malam/output/ultra_aggressive_screening_report_2025-12-06.md - This report

Disclaimer: This is a screening analysis for educational purposes. Ultra-aggressive trading strategies carry substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own due diligence before making investment decisions.