Value-Oriented Reddit Scrape: Ticker Extraction (2026-03-21) #

Sources: r/ValueInvesting, r/UndervaluedStonks, r/stocks, r/investing, r/StockMarket, r/FluentInFinance, r/tenbaggerstockpicks, r/stocktitan (+ obscure 2026-03-15 scrape). Note: r/stock_picks returned 403 (private), r/investoredge returned 302 (not found).

TIER 1: Detailed DD Posts with Investment Theses #

These are posts where the ticker is the PRIMARY subject with specific analysis.

TSEM (Tower Semiconductor) -- STRONGEST THESIS #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 98 | Comments: 35
• Title: "TSEM -- The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential"
• Thesis: Only production silicon photonics (SiPho) foundry on earth. LITE, COHR, AAOI, Broadcom, Marvell all depend on TSEM for photonics chip fabrication. $18B market cap vs $50B for LITE (a customer). Tight float: 112M shares, but ~35M tradable (25% locked in foreign pensions). SiPho growing 70% YoY. NVIDIA partnership. $920M capex to 5x SiPho capacity. Near zero analyst coverage. Q1 earnings in May catalyst.
• Quant: MCap $18B, tradable float ~35M shares, SiPho growth 70% YoY
• Quality assessment: High-conviction thesis with specific quantitative claims about float, growth, and competitive moat. Needs verification: actual analyst coverage, revenue breakdown by segment, customer concentration risk.

KLARNA (KLAR) -- POST-IPO BLOODBATH VALUE PLAY #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 63 | Comments: 68
• Title: "Klarna, post IPO bloodbath"
• Thesis: Swan dive post-IPO. $9B market cap with $5B+ in cash. Revenue growth high 20s/low 30s%. P/S under 1.4x. $50M insider purchase at recent bottom. Analysts project profitability flip within a year, FCF yield to skyrocket. Buyback likely.
• Bear case: Not yet profitable. BNPL sector concerns.
• Quant: MCap $9B, cash $5B+, P/S <1.4x, revenue growth ~28-32%, insider buying $50M
• Quality assessment: Strong engagement suggests community interest. Cash position relative to market cap is compelling. Insider buying is a strong signal per shr-002.

NOW (ServiceNow) -- QUALITY COMPOUNDER AT HALF PRICE #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 10 | Comments: 7
• Title: "ServiceNow at half price: What five dimensions of data show behind the AI panic"
• Thesis: Revenue $1.4B to $13.3B at 29% CAGR over a decade. 50% drawdown from $225 to ~$110 (split-adjusted) on AI disruption fears. Revenue still grew 21% in 2025. EBITDA margins expanded to 22.6%. Gross margins steady 77-78%. Clean balance sheet (D/E 0.25, net cash, interest coverage 101x). Trailing P/E compressed 153x to 66x. Forward P/E ~26x on $4.19 2026E EPS. $4.6B FCF. CEO Bill McDermott bought $3M stock at $104.60. 58/67 analysts rate Buy, consensus PT $196 (78% upside).
• Quant: Fwd P/E 26x, revenue growth 21%, FCF $4.6B, gross margin 77-78%, D/E 0.25, PT $196
• Quality assessment: Very detailed 5-dimension framework analysis. CEO insider buying bullish. Growth + quality at compressed multiple. Not a classic value play per the author's own admission -- premium to peers on most multiples.

PAYC (Paycom Software) -- SELF-DISRUPTION VALUE TRAP OR OPPORTUNITY #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting (old) | Score: 4 | Comments: 4
• Title: "Paycom built a product so good it killed its own growth. Now it trades at 15x earnings."
• Thesis: Had 30% growth streak in HCM/payroll. Launched BETI (employee self-service paycheck correction) which cannibalized corrective payroll runs revenue. Stock fell from $560 to $126 (-77%). Now: minimal debt, 39% EBITDA margins, $408M FCF on $2B revenue, ROE 26%, client retention 91%. Trades at 15x earnings vs software sector 30-50x.
• Quant: P/E 15x, EBITDA margin 39%, FCF $408M, revenue $2B, ROE 26%, retention 91%
• Quality assessment: Interesting contrarian thesis. The self-disruption story is unusual. 15x for these quality metrics is genuinely cheap if growth stabilizes.

ADBE (Adobe) -- CONTENTIOUS, FOUR POSTS #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting (old) | Total Score: 65 | Total Comments: 248
• Posts: "Is ADBE a buy at these prices?" (40 upvotes, 163 comments), "The next CEO of Adobe is a pivotal moment" (20 upvotes, 44 comments), "Portfolio Feedback" (mentioned at $310.30 avg), "I hope y'all are finally convinced ADBE is a dying company" (0 upvotes, 13 comments -- bear case)
• Thesis (bull): Down -35% 1yr, -43% 5yr. AI credits usage +45%, freemium MAUs +50%, subscription growth 13%, Firefly ARR +75%. CEO transition is a catalyst -- board should pick a disruptor, not a safe internal candidate.
• Thesis (bear): "Dying company" -- Adobe isn't a monopoly/duopoly, creative tools are being commoditized by AI. Better to own actual monopolies (TSMC, ASML, FICO, etc.).
• Quality assessment: Very high engagement, deeply divided community. The bull case requires conviction that AI helps rather than hurts Adobe.

INMD (InMode) -- DEEP VALUE AESTHETICS PLAY #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting (old) | Score: 0 | Comments: 5
• Title: "Valuemaxxing with $INMD [DD]"
• Thesis: RF-based minimally invasive medical aesthetics (Morpheus, FaceTite). Riding the "looksmaxxing" secular trend and GLP-1 loose skin treatment demand. $800M market cap with $630M net tangible book value (of which $605M is cash + receivables). P/E ~6x. Enterprise value near zero when backing out cash.
• Quant: MCap $800M, net tangible book $630M, cash+receivables $605M, P/E ~6x, total liabilities $83M
• Quality assessment: The balance sheet math is extraordinary if true -- essentially buying the business for ~$195M enterprise value. Low engagement suggests undiscovered. Needs verification: revenue trends, geographic risk (Israel-based), competitive dynamics.

SKYH (Sky Harbour Group) -- PRIVATE AVIATION INFRASTRUCTURE #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | Score: 3 | Comments: 1
• Title: "The Simple Math That Takes $SKYH to $50 (23 to 50 Campuses)"
• Thesis: Private aviation hangar company. Each stabilized campus = ~$1/share equity value. 23 campuses today = $23 fair value. Management target 50 campuses = $50. Currently trading $8-9. Unit economics from Miami OPF campus as baseline. Financing is locked.
• Quant: Price $8-9, campus-based IV $23 (current) to $50 (target), PT $50
• Quality assessment: Simple thesis with clear math. Risk is execution on campus buildout and financing.

FDBC (Fidelity D&D Bancorp) -- SMALL REGIONAL BANK BEATING #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting (old) | Score: 6 | Comments: 5
• Title: "FDBC Crushes Q4 Earnings (Rev +15%, EPS +35%, 20+ Years of Profitability) But Shares Down 8% MTD"
• Thesis: Q4 revenue $24.4M (+15% YoY), EPS $1.38 (+35%), net income $7.94M (+36%). 20+ consecutive years of quarterly profits. Commercial loans grew 6% to $1.9B, core deposits $2.5B. Non-performing assets at 0.08%. Shares down 8% MTD despite results.
• Quant: Revenue $24.4M (+15%), EPS $1.38 (+35%), NPA 0.08%, loans $1.9B, deposits $2.5B
• Quality assessment: Small-cap bank with excellent credit quality and consistent profitability. Price weakness despite strong results could be opportunity. Very small, potentially illiquid.

TRIP (Tripadvisor) -- ACTIVIST CATALYST #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | 2 posts | Score: 2 total
• Title: "$TRIP -- Why a Starboard win could quickly change the stock price" + "Tripadvisor - will Starboard unlock value in June?"
• Thesis: Starboard Value owns ~9% and still buying. Liberty's Class B supervoting shares are gone -- now one share, one vote. June shareholder meeting is the catalyst. BlackRock, Vanguard, State Street own 30%+ and tend to support management changes when results are weak. TRIP has underperformed the market by 50%+ over several years. ISS and Glass Lewis reports in May expected to be critical.
• Quant: Starboard ownership ~9%, institutional ownership 30%+
• Quality assessment: Activist catalyst is a legitimate setup. Low engagement suggests not yet crowded.

TWFG (TWFG Inc) -- SMALL-CAP INSURANCE NEAR 52-WEEK LOWS #

• Source: r/investing | Score: 2 | Comments: 0
• Title: "$TWFG, Inc. - A small-cap insurance trading near 52-week lows"
• Thesis: Infrastructure provider for independent insurance agents (carrier access, tech, marketing). IPO'd July 2024. Revenue from commission/fees on policies. Two segments: Retail branches (core) and MGA (growth investment). Keeps outperforming earnings expectations. Near 52-week lows.
• Quant: Near 52-week low (specific price not stated)
• Quality assessment: Under-the-radar small cap with recurring revenue model. Zero engagement suggests very early discovery.

DSM-Firmenich -- EUROPEAN TURNAROUND #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 5 | Comments: 4
• Title: "DSM-Firmenich: A Major Investment Opportunity"
• Thesis: Misunderstood as a traditional chemical company, but actually a defensible consumer ingredients business (fragrances, nutritional supplements). Complex merger depressed sentiment. Animal Nutrition division divestiture incoming to reveal core business quality -- strong moats, steady growth, improving margins. Market mispricing of core assets.
• Quality assessment: European large-cap turnaround. The post is a summary pointing to a deeper substack article.

UAMY (United States Antimony Corp) -- CRITICAL MINERALS #

• Source: r/stocks | Score: 6 | Comments: 5
• Title: "$UAMY - pros and cons"
• Thesis: Author bought at $9.80, now down ~15%. Q4 2025 revenue ~$13M (up from $5.6M in Q4 2024). TTM revenue ~$39.3M. Revenue scaling from JVs and expanded ore sourcing. But profitability is choppy -- EPS swinging between small profit and small loss. Critical minerals/antimony thesis.
• Quant: Entry $9.80, Q4 rev $13M, TTM rev $39.3M, revenue 6Q growth from $2.6M to $13M
• Quality assessment: Honest bull-and-bear analysis. Revenue growth is real but profitability unclear.

ANA Holdings (9202.T / ALNPY) -- JAPAN CARGO AIRLINE #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | Score: 1 | Comments: 0
• Title: "ANA Holdings: Japan's largest cargo carrier disguised as a beaten-down airline"
• Thesis: Market sold ANA with all airlines on Iran conflict / oil price hike. But ANA's NCA freighter routes bypass the Middle East. Japan's semiconductor reshoring benefits ANA as cargo carrier. Transition from pure airline to Japan's largest cargo carrier after NCA acquisition.
• Quality assessment: Contrarian thesis on Japan-listed stock. Links to longer substack article.

Niitaka (TSE-4465) -- JAPANESE CLEANING CHEMICALS #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 4 | Comments: 1
• Thesis: Cleaning chemicals for restaurants, hotels, food factories. Recently acquired healthcare company (Biobank). Vertically integrated, custom solutions increase customer stickiness.
• Quant: P/E 9.2x
• Quality assessment: Obscure Japanese micro-cap value play at low multiple.

Komatsu (6301.T) -- MINING & CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 4 | Comments: 0
• Title: "Komatsu (japanese mining, construction & forestry equipment manufacturer) [part 5]"
• Thesis: Part of multi-post series on mining/construction equipment (Epiroc, Caterpillar, Sandvik, Liebherr, Komatsu). Value analysis of a major Japanese industrial.
• Quant: P/E 14.55x
• Quality assessment: Systematic sector analysis series. Well-researched format.

TIER 2: Discussion/Question Posts (tickers mentioned but not full DD) #

CEG (Constellation Energy) + VST (Vistra) #

• Combined engagement: 375 upvotes, 87 comments across 2 posts
• Context: Both hammered ~10% in one day. Google signed 2.7 GW power deal with DTE Energy for data center. AI infrastructure power demand thesis. CEG and VST are nuclear/power plays for AI data centers.
• Also mentioned in Google power deal post: AES, BEPC, FLNC, GEV, NEE, VRT

META vs MSFT #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 58 | Comments: 102
• Context: "Great time to be buying cheap MAG7 stocks" -- MSFT, META, AMZN. Asking which is better value.

GOOG/GOOGL (Alphabet) #

• Source: r/stocks | Score: 63 | Comments: 41
• Context: "Buying Alphabet now? Correlation of tech stocks to Iran?" Most of poster's portfolio is GOOGL, considering buying the dip.

DCF Screen Results (r/ValueInvesting, 20 upvotes, 23 comments) #

• Undervalued per DCF: UPS (Beer Score 100, ~30% below IV), O (82), PEP (90), HON (86), ABT (100)
• Overvalued per DCF: TSLA, PLTR, CAT

Acuity Brands (AYI) #

• Source: r/stocks | Score: 5 | Comments: 4
• Context: P/E 20, fwd P/E 12, EV/EBITDA 11, D/E 0.33, ROE 15.6, ROIC 11.1, gross margin 46.1%. Trading 20% below 200 DMA, 25% below YTD high. 46% upside to analyst target.

ONEOK (OKE) #

• Source: r/ValueInvesting | Score: 6 | Comments: 5
• Context: "Capitalizing on Chaos" -- wellhead-to-water infrastructure positioned for Iran crisis. Post-acquisition (Magellan, EnLink, Medallion) inflection to FCF harvesting.

SOFI #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | Score: 3 | Comments: 8
• Context: First $1B quarter in Q4, beat EPS, CEO bought $1M of own stock. Mastercard stablecoin partnership. Stock at 7-8 month low despite positive catalysts.

Topicus.com (TSXV:TOI) #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | Score: 3 | Comments: 1
• Context: Fallen from C$195 to ~C$80, back to C$105. Vertical market software (VMS) acquirer. AI disruption fears weighing. High customer stickiness, 30% revenue from customization. Constellation Software spin-off.

AGX (Argan Inc) #

• Source: r/stocks | Score: 1 | Comments: 6
• Context: Power infrastructure builder (data centers, AI, energy). Big run recently, P/E 30-40x. Questioning if already priced in.

VELO (Velo3D) #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | Score: 3 | Comments: 3
• Context: Additive manufacturing for defense. Nearly went under last year, delisted from NYSE, MCap fell below $15M. Now positioned for defense production bottleneck resolution. Very speculative.

OSCR (Oscar Health) #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | Score: 0 | Comments: 2
• Context: "Mis-priced stock" -- strong earnings report but stock fell.

RDDT (Reddit) #

• Source: r/UndervaluedStonks | Score: 2 | Comments: 0
• Context: 6,000+ word deep dive on Reddit as business. "Early innings on a 20-year-old platform."

TIER 3: Penny/Speculative Tickers (from r/tenbaggerstockpicks) #

IPM -- Cybersecurity nano-cap #

• Score: 13 (across 2 posts) | Technical breakout thesis

JAGU -- Uranium junior miner #

• Score: 9 (across 3 posts) | Uranium squeeze thesis, ~$1.70 vs $4 IPO, ~5.5M float, insider buying

TROO -- Regional digital platform #

• Score: 14 (across 3 posts) | 180% revenue growth, diversified segments. Promotional feel.

BLOZF (Cannabix Technologies) -- Marijuana breath test #

• Score: 1 | First delivery to major construction client

TIER 4: Macro/Thematic Posts (no specific tickers but relevant context) #

1. Iran/Oil crisis dominates: Trump ultimatum to Iran (4,118 upvotes), "winding down" Iran effort (947 upvotes), US waiving Iran oil sanctions for 30 days (412 upvotes). This is the #1 macro theme.
2. Russell 2000 correction: First major US benchmark in correction territory (128 upvotes). Small caps especially sensitive to oil/economic cycle.
3. Commodities timing: $GSG, $CMDY, $COMT, $DBC discussed -- "too late?" question (7 upvotes). Agriculture via $WEAT, $CANE, $DBA.
4. Credit Card Competition Act: Potential threat to MA/V duopoly (27 upvotes, 38 comments). Bipartisan legislation forcing banks to offer alternative networks.
5. AI stocks pulling back: Rotation from AI/tech to energy (93 upvotes). "Consolidation or serious valuation questioning?"
6. Buffett/Berkshire Iran oil windfall: $2B windfall from Occidental position (167 upvotes).
7. Musk/Twitter jury verdict: Found to have misled investors (1,944 upvotes).

SUMMARY: Tickers Ranked by Value-Investing Relevance #

DCF Screen Picks (from SEC data workflow post): #

• UPS -- Beer Score 100, ~30% below intrinsic value
• PEP -- Beer Score 90, defensive, well-supported by cash flow
• HON -- Beer Score 86, solid earnings backing
• ABT -- Beer Score 100, near fair value (also acquiring Exact Sciences)
• O -- Beer Score 82, strong yield + near fair value

Portfolio Holdings Mentioned (from Portfolio Feedback post): #

FICO (16.7%), ASML (13.3%), ADBE (12.3%), GOOG (11.2%), META (8.3%), AMZN (7.7%), NVDA (6.7%), WSO (3.6%), FTNT (3.5%), UBER (3.0%), BRO (3.0%), ULTA (2.6%), LNG (2.5%), NKE (2.0%), PAYC (1.8%), V (0.7%), AOS (0.3%), NOW (0.3%), HESM (0.1%)