Source: ../torrent-downloader/reddit-scrape-2026-03-15/
Subreddits: 10xpennystocks, pennystock, smallstreetbets, tenbaggerstockpicks, nextmovestocks, theraceto10million, tfsa_millionaires, wallstreetbetsGER, stockmarket
squeeze_check.py + yfinance deep dives| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $1.955 |
| Market Cap | $25.9M |
| Float | 5.73M (ultra-tight) |
| Short % float | 0.27% (no squeeze mechanics) |
| DTC | 0.81 |
| Volume | 461K vs 88K avg = 5.25x spike |
| 1M return | +16.4% |
| Cash | $7.3M, Debt $1.4M (net cash) |
| FCF | -$746K/yr |
| Insider | CEO + Director buying open-market at $1.77-$2.73 |
| Revenue | ~$6.2M/Q, growing sequentially ($5.5M → $5.7M → $6.2M) |
| Analyst | 1 analyst, target $6.50 (3.3x upside) |
| shr-021 | 2/6 — NOT a squeeze |
Catalysts: Earnings March 17 (Monday), ROTH Conference March 22-24, Trump Cyber Strategy tailwind.
Category: Momentum/catalyst micro-cap. Positive asymmetry from tiny float + earnings catalyst. CEO skin in game.
Risk: -$3M OCF/yr on $7.3M cash = ~2.5yr runway. 43% dilution since Jan 2025 (though recently declining). Reddit DD suspiciously coordinated — 53 mentions from 1-2 authors across 4 subs.
Position: EUR 200-300 max, only if earnings beat Monday. Stop below $1.50. Target $3.00 (first), $5.00 (stretch).
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $1.915 |
| Market Cap | $473M |
| Total Debt | $3.3B |
| EV | $3.65B |
| Short % | 19.7%, DTC 0.42 (shorts exit in hours) |
| Short trend | +137% MoM (informed bears adding — shr-023) |
| Insiders | CFO + 2 officers selling same day (shr-002 bearish signal) |
| shr-021 | 1/6 |
Reddit pitch: "$3B revenue on $500M mcap = cheap." Reality: EV is $3.65B when you include debt. EV/Revenue = 1.36x on a declining, heavily-leveraged business. Apollo controls 52.5%.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $0.21 |
| Market Cap | $31.4M |
| Share dilution | +300% since 2024 |
| Reverse split | 1:60 Dec 2025 |
| Q4 2025 shares | 16.9M → 144.6M (754% in one quarter) |
| FCF | -$8.8M/yr |
| Insider ownership | 0.63% |
| shr-021 | 0/6 |
Reddit DD claimed "profitable, cash > mcap." Reality: $6.8M "net income" was non-cash one-time item (operating income -$2.6M/Q). Textbook shr-022 dilute-and-split machine.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $2.12 |
| Market Cap | $9.5M |
| Reverse split | 1:30 Sep 2025 (shr-022 flag) |
| Revenue | Declining 3 consecutive quarters |
| Net losses | Accelerating (-$2.7M → -$5.1M/Q) |
| Volume spike | 53x avg — unexplained meme activity |
| Insider buys | Zero |
| shr-021 | 2/6 |
Already ran +120%. Reddit DD cherry-picked CyPath Lung segment growth while total revenue declining.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $1.46 (ATL) |
| Cash runway | 1.2 months |
| Total debt | $89M vs $7M cash |
| Current ratio | 0.25 (technically insolvent) |
| Post-split dilution | +307% |
| Short trend | +51% MoM (bears adding) |
| Forward EPS | -$5.95 (worsening) |
| shr-021 | 3/6 |
Palantir/SurfOS story doesn't matter with 1.2 months cash. Any raise at $1.46 is massively dilutive.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $0.80 |
| Market Cap | $7.3M |
| Revenue | Crashed -87% Q1→Q3 ($2.44M → $0.31M) |
| Gross margin | Negative (-6.3%) |
| Reverse split | 1:10 Jul 2024 |
| Insider buys | Zero |
| shr-021 | 2/6 |
Reddit claimed "no dilution, lots of cash." Cash runway ~11.5 months is ok, but revenue collapsed and gross margin is negative.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price | $0.57 |
| Dilution | +381.6% since 2023 (tripled in 2025 alone) |
| Cash runway | 2.8 months |
| Burn rate | $19.6M/yr on $2.1M revenue |
| Insider buys | Zero |
| shr-021 | 2/6 |
Reddit pitched "constrained float." Reality: shares tripled in one year via equity issuance.
| Ticker | Why |
|---|---|
| AEHL | Serial R/S dilute machine per shr-022 (1:2,400 combined, 6,280% share growth) |
| HUBC | $1M cash, $50M debt (Reddit's own DD flagged this) |
| SOUN | 382M float makes squeeze impossible (shr-021 criterion 3) |
| CHAC | Pre-merger SPAC for Xanadu Quantum. SPACs trade down post-merge. |
| Large caps | NVDA, TSLA, MSFT, etc. — not 2-5x candidates |
Reddit penny stock subs systematically omit: reverse split history, dilution trajectories, cash runway, insider non-participation, and debt loads. Every DD verified had at least one material omission that changes the thesis. The IPM DD appeared verbatim in 4 subreddits from the same author — coordinated promotion.